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Friday, January 05, 2001

Flu concerns abate, but area hospitals remain on guard




By Tim Bonfield
The Cincinnati Enquirer

        A slow start to this winter's flu season has eased some of the concern about large numbers of high-risk people left unprotected by a nationwide delay in distributing flu vaccine.

        But Tristate hospitals, struggling with a nursing shortage and recent closings, are still bracing for a seasonal rush of flu cases expected to start in the next several weeks.

DIVERSIONS
    Figures reflect 14 hospitals in 1999 and 13 hospitals in 2000 that report diversions through the Hamilton County Communications Department. Each diversion reflects an eight-hour shift when a hospital asks life squads to take all but the most unstable patients to other hospitals.
Month 1999 2000
January 10 42
February 31 14
March 26 17
April 29 9
May 4 11
June 6 15
July 10 18
August 3 40
September 3 43
October 1 45
November 2 57
December 14 34
Total 139 345
Source: Greater Cincinnati Health Council
        As of Thursday, Ohio has reported no lab-confirmed influenza cases. Kentucky has reported four, none in Northern Kentucky.

        In the Tristate, the flu usually peaks in January and February. But normally, Ohio expects to see at least a few confirmed cases by now, said Ohio Health Department spokeswoman Cheryl Lufitz.

        The slow start comes as a relief to public health officials because manufacturing problems caused the annual flu vaccine to be delayed for months. Last month, public health clinics were scrambling for supplies while many seniors spent hours in lines at groceries and pharmacies to get their flu shots.

        Some have feared the delay could lead to a spike in flu-related deaths if the virus struck early.

        “Every little bit of time helps for those folks who got their vaccine late,” said Dr. Glyn Caldwell, state epidemiologist for the Kentucky Cabinet of Health Resources.

        But even if the flu season turns out to be normal, hospitals have been concerned about their ability to handle the patients. That's because hospitals have been diverting life squadsat a sharply increased pace, even before the flu season hit.

        After three straight months of record numbers, ambulance diversions at 13 Tristate hospitals dropped to 34 in December. That's less than the 57 reported in November, but still twice as many as the 14 reported last December.

        Hospital leaders have warned the public that the high number of diversions is a sign of how difficult it will be to handle a surge of flu patients. But some plans have been made.

        In Cleveland and Akron, several hospitals will serve as flu sentinel hospitals, where flu cases and occupancy rates will be tracked daily once the flu hits.

        Ohio hospitals have worked out an agreement with the Health Care Financing Administration (the agency that runs Medicare) to allow swamped hospitals to place flu patients in beds not normally used for acute care. The agreement also would allow hospitals to reopen closed units and place patients in meeting rooms and cafeterias, if necessary.

        Although the policy changes will be based on flu activity in Cleveland and Akron, the changes would apply to hospitals statewide, said Richard Fox, senior vice president of Cleveland's Center for Health Affairs.

        However, at least for this flu season, HCFA did not approve the hospitals' most radical proposal: to open off-site “treat and release” centers as a last resort. Instead, that idea will be studied further, Mr. Fox said.

        Cincinnati hospitals will not serve as sentinel hospitals this year because there was not enough time to agree upon a daily flu patient tracking system, said Colleen O'Toole, vice president of the Greater Cincinnati Health Council.

        But there still may be time to get a flu shot.

        Local health groups are planning a blitz of flu shot clinics to be held Wednesday. However, locations have not been set, Ms. O'Toole said.

       



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