Tuesday, November 20, 2001
Analysts see oil merger as crucial to partners
The Associated Press
NEW YORK While executives promoted their $15.5 billion deal to unite Phillips Petroleum Co. and Conoco Inc. as a merger of equals, analysts described the combination as a deal done to survive.
If Phillips and Conoco hadn't decided to join forces, analysts said Monday, they risked losing market share to competitors in an unhealthy business climate for all but the largest petroleum companies.
This is absolutely a matter of survival survival not necessarily to thrive, but to guarantee they will survive, said Fadel Gheit, an analyst at Fahnestock & Co. If oil and gas prices collapse, smaller companies will be swept away.
Oil prices have already plunged to their lowest level in more than two years despite efforts by OPEC to stop the free fall, which could further push down prices at the pump. Gasoline is now selling for less than $1 a gallon in some parts of the country and is averaging $1.23 a gallon at stations nationwide, accord ing to the Lundberg Survey.
In a conference call with analysts Monday, top Phillips and Conoco officials said the merger will allow them to save at least $750 million annually, in part through the elimination of an unspecified number of jobs from the combined company's roster of 58,000 employees.
Phillips chairman James Mulva said it's too soon to say how many positions will be cut, but Mr. Gheit predicted that about 10 percent of the work force would be eliminated.
You cannot say you are cutting costs if you cut less than 5 percent, Mr. Gheit said. And if you want to be aggressive with a sharp knife, you can cut 15 to 20 percent, which I see as unlikely.
The combined company will be the country's top refiner and a gas retailing giant, with 17,000 filling stations nationwide. Conoco sells gasoline, diesel fuel, and other petroleum products at 5,000 outlets in the United States, while Phillips sells fuel at more than 12,000 stations under brands such as Phillips 66, Circle K and 76.
The all-stock deal, announced late Sunday, gives the new company named ConocoPhillips a $35 billion market value. It puts it in the No. 3 position behind Exxon Mobil Corp. and ChevronTexaco Corp. in the United States, and ranks it sixth-largest in the world.
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