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Tuesday, November 20, 2001

Caution hits construction


New units at 10-month low

The Associated Press and The Cincinnati Enquirer

        WASHINGTON — Builders broke ground on fewer housing projects in October, showing caution in the face of sinking consumer confidence and rising unemployment.

        Housing construction declined by 1.3 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.55 million housing units, the lowest level in 10 months, the Commerce Department said Monday.

        While the drop was a lot

        less steep than many analysts were expecting, it did represent a pullback by builders. In September, housing construction rose by a solid 0.8 percent.

        “The feeling among builders is certainly one of caution,” said David Seiders, chief economist for the National Association of Home Builders. “We're getting signals from the field that when it comes to speculative building — building without a contract in hand — builders are playing it closer to the vest.”

        Locally, the slowing economy clobbered housing starts as they dropped about 24 percent in October.

        Housing starts for single-family homes totaled 405 in Hamilton, Butler, Clermont and Warren counties, down from 502 in October 2000, according to the Home Builders Association of Greater Cincinnati.

        In Kentucky, housing starts in Boone, Kenton, Campbell, Grant, Gallatin and Pendleton counties came in at 111 in October, down from 174 last October, according to the Home Builders Association of Northern Kentucky.

        The dip in overall housing construction reflects a climate of greater economic uncertainty. Consumer confidence plunged in October to its lowest level in 7 1/2 years, and the nation's unemployment rate rose from 4.9 percent in September to 5.4 percent, factors that can make Americans less inclined to make big-ticket purchases such as a home.

        Single-family home construction fell by 1.2 percent in October, after a 1.1 percent decline in September.

        Construction of apartments, condominiums and other multifamily housing rose by 1.9 percent, following a 3.4 percent gain.

        By region, housing starts rose by 5.3 percent to a rate of 140,000 in the Northeast. They grew by 14.3 percent in the Midwest to a rate of 328,000. In the South, starts held steady at a rate of 744,000, and in the West, they declined by 16.7 percent to a rate of 340,000.

        Housing permits, a good barometer of current demand, fell by 3.6 percent in October to rate of 1.47 million, the lowest since December 1997.

        “This might indicate that starts in the remaining months of the year could inch down, but thankfully, a big swoon does not appear to be in the cards,” said economist Ken Mayland, president of ClearView Economics.

        Enquirer reporter Jeff McKinney contributed to this report.

       



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