Cincinnati.Com
NKY.COM  |  ENQUIRER  |  CIN WEEKLY  |  Classifieds  |  Cars  |  Homes  |  Jobs  |  Help
Currently:
80°F
Mostly Sunny
Weather | Traffic
The Enquirer
HOME
NEWS
ENTERTAINMENT
SPORTS
REDS
BENGALS
LOCAL GUIDE
MULTIMEDIA
ARCHIVES
SEARCH
 
 TODAY'S ENQUIRER 
 Front Page 
 Local News 
 Sports 
-- Business 
 Editorials 
 Tempo 
 Home Style 
 Travel 
 Health 
 Technology 
 Weather 
 Back Issues 
 Search 
 Subscribe 

 SPORTS 
 Bearcats 
 Bengals 
 High School 
 Reds 
 Xavier 

 VIEWPOINTS 
 Jim Borgman 
 Columnists 
 Readers' views 

 ENTERTAINMENT 
 Movies 
 Dining 
 Horoscopes 
 Lottery Results 
 Local Events 
 Video Games 

 CINCINNATI.COM 
 Giveaways 
 Maps/Directions 
 Send an E-Postcard 
 Coupons 
 Visitor's Guide 
 Web Directory 

 CLASSIFIEDS 
 Jobs 
 Cars 
 Homes 
 General 
 Place an ad 

 HELP 
 Feedback 
 Subscribe 
 Search 
 Newsroom Directory 



 
Tuesday, August 20, 2002

Index down, but it's good news


Upswing seen in consumer confidence

By The Associated Press

        NEW YORK - A key gauge of U.S. economic activity fell in July amid fierce stock market gyrations and mounting reports of corporate shenanigans, but the drop wasn't as bad as experts had predicted.

        The New York-based Conference Board on Monday reported its Index of Leading Economic Indicators fell 0.4 percent to 111.7, after falling a revised 0.2 percent in June. Analysts had expected a July decline of 0.5 percent.

        The smaller-than-expected drop helped push stocks higher, sending the Dow Jones industrial average up 213 points to 8,991. The Nasdaq composite index rose 34 points to 1,395.

        Experts said the decline confirmed that the economy is still in a shaky recovery, but they were encouraged that consumers are continuing to buy big ticket items like cars and homes.

        “The economy has run into a soft patch and we are trying to get out of the rut,” said Sung Won Sohn, chief economist for Wells Fargo & Co.

        The index measures where the overall U.S. economy is headed in the next three to six months. It stood at 100 in 1996, its base year. July's decline was the third time in the last four months that the index failed to increase.

        Contributing most to last month's decline were stock prices, the Conference Board said.

        “Volatile financial markets, corporate scandals and sagging consumer expectations are trouble spots,” said conference board economist Ken Goldstein. “But latest evidence shows no significant weakening in the consumer markets, with home and car buying continuing to be strong.”

        Consumers did cut back on discretionary spending such as clothes, travel and meals at restaurants, Mr. Sohn said. There are signs, however, that some discretionary spending may be increasing.

        Home improvement retailer Lowe's on Monday reported a 42 percent increase in second-quarter earnings and raised forecasts for the third quarter that beat analysts' expectations. And shares of

        Toys “R” Us rose after the company narrowed its loss to $17 million in the second quarter.

        “The stock market is improving, and consumers are hitting the malls again,” Mr. Sohn said. “Hopefully even businesses would feel better about future sales prospects to start spending money on capital equipment.”

        Mark Vitner, senior economist with Wachovia Securities, said the heavy car sales are significant because people “worried about their jobs don't go out and buy new cars.”

        “We would look for the numbers to come back in a couple months,” Mr. Vitner said.

        The Conference Board's coincident index, which measures current economic activity, rose 0.1 percent in July to 115.0. The index of lagging indicators, which reflects changes that have already occurred, rose 0.1 percent last month to 100.7.

       



- Index down, but it's good news
Price joins Financial Corp. board
Insurer Midland delays common stock offering
Continental recalls tires on Ford SUVs
Now playing: New crowd
Business digest
Tristate Summary
Morning Memo
What's the Buzz?

 

Latest Headline News
Updated Every 30 Minutes
BUSINESS NEWS

U.S. Rises in Auto Reliability Ratings

Congolese Shun Own Currency for Dollars

Delta Air Lines Posts $52M Profit in 3Q

Prepared Holiday Meals Up in Popularity

Christmas Returns to Wal-Mart Marketing


Cincinnati.Com
Search our site by keyword:  
Search also: News | Jobs | Homes | Cars | Classifieds | Obits | Coupons | Events | Dining
Movies/DVDs | Video Games | Hotels | Golf | Visitor's Guide | Maps/Directions | Yellow Pages

  CINCINNATI.COM  |  NKY.COM  |  ENQUIRER  |  CIN WEEKLY  |  Classifieds  |  Cars  |  Homes  |  Jobs  |  Help


Search | Questions/help | News tips | Letters to the editors | Subscribe
Newspaper advertising | Web advertising | Place a classified | Circulation

Copyright 1995-2007. The Cincinnati Enquirer, a Gannett Co. Inc. newspaper.
Use of this site signifies agreement to terms of service updated 12/19/2002.