Sunday, October 24, 2004

Poll: Bunning lead shrinking

By Tom Loftus
The Courier-Journal

FRANKFORT - The U.S. Senate race between Democratic state Sen. Daniel Mongiardo and Republican Sen. Jim Bunning appears to have tightened to 6 percentage points, according to a new Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll.

A similar poll taken in September showed Bunning was ahead by 17 points.

The new poll, conducted Monday-Wednesday, shows 49 percent of likely voters would vote for Bunning, 43 percent prefer Mongiardo, and 9 percent were undecided.

Because the results are within the poll's margin of error - plus or minus 3.7 percentage points - Bunning might not be definitely ahead. It also means Bunning could have a larger lead.

The poll questioned 690 registered voters who said they definitely or probably would vote in the Nov. 2 general election.

Compared to that poll, the Bluegrass Poll taken Sept. 10-15 showed 51 percent of voters supported Bunning, 34 percent were for Mongiardo, and 15 percent were undecided.

"These numbers clearly show that voters have rejected Jim Bunning's false, negative, smear campaign," Kim Geveden, Mongiardo's campaign manager, said.

David Young, Bunning's campaign manager, said in a statement:

"This just confirms once again that the mainstream Bush-Bunning team is going to beat the liberal Kerry-Mongiardo ticket. The Bush-Bunning team is going to win and is ahead in every single poll despite the personal attacks and desperate smear campaign the Kerry-Mongiardo crew is waging against Jim Bunning."

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