ELECTION 2004

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Arkansas: Many Democrats believe Al Gore lost this state in 2000 because he didn't ask then-President Clinton to stump in his home state. John Kerry is taking no chances: Clinton planned to stump for him on Sunday. But late polls show President Bush winning here.

Colorado: One of the big surprises of '04, the state that gave President Bush a solid 9-point win in 2000, is that it's closer than expected, although Bush leads in late polls. A constitutional amendment on the ballot could split the state's nine electoral votes based on the percentage of the popular vote, although polls show it losing.

Florida: Both sides have massive get-out-the-vote operations; Republicans claim they have 500 paid staffers and more than 80,000 volunteers. The Democratic turnout effort is being augmented heavily by the issue group, America Coming Together, run by former labor and Democratic Party officials. Bush is slightly favored in the state governed by his brother.

Iowa: Rarely have seven electoral votes had this much attention, so pardon Iowans who are weary of it all by now. Bush barely lost the state in 2000 and vowed to reverse that in '04. Democrats claim a better ground game will deliver the Hawkeye State, and the final Des Moines Register poll showed Kerry forging ahead.

Minnesota: Given the state's Democratic history, you'd think it would be firmly in Kerry's camp, but the Democrat has had trouble closing the deal and Bush has capitalized. Ralph Nader could be a factor here more than in other states, according to a Humphrey Institute of Public Affairs poll.

New Hampshire: It's Kerry's next-door status versus the state's Republican heritage (although it has trended Democrat in the urban sprawl from Massachusetts). Bush has never been as popular here as his father was - he lost badly to John McCain in the 2000 GOP primary. Kerry may be slightly favored.

New Mexico: Many people forget the actual vote margin here in 2000 was closer than Florida. Bush is slightly favored in a state that has a higher percentage of Hispanic voters than any other.

Ohio: The mother of tossups, Ohio has seemed to alternately revel in and repel at the heavy attention Kerry and Bush have paid. The candidates have both been there so much that some joke they could vote as Ohioans. Kerry was showing momentum near the end. Both candidates planned to stump here in the final hours.

Pennsylvania: Republicans are surprised and encouraged it's this close and think they can win with a late push. New polls released over the weekend show it virtually tied.

Wisconsin: Kerry is holding his own in a state Gore barely won in 2000. Kerry and Bush have campaigned heavily in the state, where the fall usually means hunting and the Green Bay Packers.