Wednesday, November 3, 2004

Popular president dominates Kentucky


Even Democrats vote for Bush

By Nancy Zuckerbrod
The Associated Press

President Bush proved to be more popular than Democratic challenger John Kerry Tuesday with men and women in Kentucky and voters of all ages and in all income brackets, according to an Associated Press poll.

In addition, Kentucky Democrats were more likely than Republicans to cross party lines in casting their vote for president.

Kentucky voters are almost equally divided when it comes to party affiliation. A little more than four in 10 say they consider themselves Democrats, and almost the same number say they are Republicans.

Bush captured the support of about a quarter of the state's Democrats, which is higher than in the national contest. Very few Republicans crossed party lines to back Kerry.

David King, of Auxier, was among those Democrats who voted to re-elect Bush. "I think he can handle the war on terror better than Kerry can," King said. "Bush has proven himself."

As for the state's independent voters, they favored Bush.

The poll of 1,034 Kentucky voters was conducted for AP and television networks by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International. Results were subject to sampling error of plus or minus 5 percentage points, higher for subgroups.

Moral values No. 1

When it comes to the issues, Kentucky voters said moral values were critical in deciding how to vote for president. Virtually all of the people who said that was the most important issue for them backed Bush for president.

Nearly all of the voters who cared most about moral values also backed the proposed amendment to the state constitution that would define marriage as between a man and a woman and ban civil unions.

The economy and jobs were also a top issue for Kentuckians going to the polls, and those voters overwhelmingly supported Kerry for president.

Voters who said they wanted a candidate who exhibited strong leadership skills endorsed Bush, while Kerry got the backing of those who said they wanted a president who would take the country in a new direction.

"I guess I really just want a change," said Kim DeSha, of Louisville. "It's not that I think he's (Kerry) so much better. He would be better than Bush I think."

Sample precincts

The exit poll was conducted for the National Election Pool - the Associated Press, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox and NBC - by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International.

The survey was conducted at a randomly selected probability sample of 20 precincts around Kentucky.

As people left the voting booths, Edison/Mitofsky interviewers asked them to fill out a confidential paper questionnaire prepared by NEP representatives. The interviewers selected voters at a set interval - such as every fifth person - so that each participant had an equal chance of being picked.

The results were adjusted to reflect the different probabilities of selecting a sample precinct and people attending each, as well as by the observed sex, race and estimated age of voters who refused to participate.

As with any survey, the results could vary because of chance variations in the sample. For this poll of 1,034 respondents, there was one chance in 20 that sampling error would cause the results to vary by more than 5 percentage points from the opinions of all Kentucky voters.

Sampling error also depends on how many poll sites have voters with the characteristic of interest. For example, black or high-income voters may be found clustered in only a few sample precincts. Sampling error may be up to three times larger for clustered characteristics.

Polls are subject to other sources of error, such as from question wording or order.




OHIO ELECTION RESULTS:
Ohio provisional ballots may decide presidential election
Voters repeal amendment on gay rights
Ohio Supreme Court: GOP's justices appear to be buttressing majority
Voinovich has no trouble winning 2nd Senate term
Sycamore levy passes; four others fail
Kerry effort falls short in Ohio
Ohio Republicans aim to maintain grip in House, Senate
Ohio election briefs
Ohio Issue 1 passes
Turnout heavy in suburbs
MU students hit the polls
HAMILTON CO. RACES
Cincinnati school levy passes
Hospital tax leading despite opposition
CLERMONT CO. RACES
Clermont County: Republicans remain choice in early count
Clermont County tax issues: Long lines delay counting
BUTLER CO. RACES
Fairfield levy passes
Butler commission: All incumbents being returned
Butler levies: Support strong for health, social care funding
Butler County Sheriff: Jones likely successor to Gabbard
WARREN CO. RACES
Heavy turnout, long lines delay vote count
Kings levy passes by slim margin
INDIANA RACES
Indiana governor: Daniels prevails after tough, costly slugfest
Ballot misprint may affect Ind. school board race

KENTUCKY ELECTION RESULTS:
LOCAL RACES
Alexandria: Voters stick with City Council's six incumbents
Bellevue City Council: Two incumbents losing seats with 4 of 5 precincts counted
Covington: Sanders and Stricker joining City Commission
Campbell County: Ward holds on to retain seat on Circuit Court
Florence City Council: One newcomer, five incumbents win seats
Independence: Four who opposed insurance tax win
Newport: Mayor, all four on council will be keeping their seats
Suburban schools: Campbell, other area boards get fresh faces
Villa Hills, Taylor Mill: Taxes to fix, replace city streets rejected
Urban schools: Newcomer ousts incumbent, snags Newport board seat
N. Ky. election briefs
STATE RACES
Popular president dominates Kentucky
Ky. Senate: Bunning wins - but race was close
Ky. House: This time around, Davis prevails
Issue One: Kentucky overwhelmingly says yes to no-gay-marriage
State's determined voters brave long lines, waits, rain
23rd Senate District: Westwood survives challenge by Groob
Ex-Gov. Carroll wins Frankfort seat
State Senate: Republican Thayer wins a full term in new seat
67th House District: Keene's win preserves spot for Democrats

IN THE TRISTATE
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Help Habitat by hiring yard rakers
Father inspired mission journey
Cone throw may bring legal action
Police dogs could get TV time at competition
Harrison man charged in auto fatals
Exhibit to spotlight 350 years of Judaism in America
Medal of Honor graves get special markers
Local news briefs
Neighbors news briefs

ENQUIRER COLUMNISTS
Good Things Happening

LIVES REMEMBERED
Gay Weber designed jet engines for GE

KENTUCKY STORIES
Time of change in Crestview Hills
Waltz or swing, timid students learn to let go
Florence Freedom has a deal
$545,000 grant to bolster Ky. health-care work force
N. Ky. news briefs
Jewelry gone after autopsy of corpse
N.Ky. schools' education guide available online
Murder counts filed in wreck that killed 2